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For the first time, researchers have been able to build a consensus between different regional climate models using spatial statistics. In this image (above), the color red indicates regions of North America for which the statistical analysis indicates a 97.5 percent probability that average temperatures will rise by at least 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2070. Image by Noel Cressie and Emily Kang, courtesy of Ohio State University.

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Statisticians at Ohio State University and the University of Cincinnati used spatial statistics and different regional climate models to build a consensus of likely temperature changes across North America. In this image, the color intensity corresponds to the temperature change expected by 2070, measured in degrees Celsius. The greatest temperature increases occur in the north, particularly in the Hudson Bay. Image by Noel Cressie and Emily Kang, courtesy of Ohio State University.

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